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京津冀交通一体化账本猜想:6年投资或达1.5万亿

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年09月20日 12:15:01
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(  6年)(时)(间)(,京)(津)(冀)(交)(通)(一)(体)(化)(可)(能)(要)(花)(多)(少)(钱)(?在)(具)(体)(规)(划)(尚)(未)(正)(式)(出)(台)(前)(,不)(妨)(做)(个)(猜)(想)(。  经)(济)(观)(察)(网)(  自)(去)(年)(京)(津)(冀)(协)(同)(发)(展)(战)(略)(提)(出)(以)(来)(,交)(通)(一)(体)(化)(一)(直)(充)(当)(“先)(锋)(”,京)(津)(冀)(三)(地)(也)(是)(各)(种)(真)(金)(白)(银)(“砸)(”进)(去)(。据)(已)(有)(的)(规)(划)(目)(标)(,到)(2020年)(,计)(划)(形)(成)(京)(津)(冀)(9000公)(里)(的)(高)(速)(公)(路)(网)(和)(主)(要)(城)(市)(3小)(时)(公)(路)(交)(通)(圈)(,9500公)(里)(的)(铁)(路)(网)(和)(主)(要)(城)(市)(1小)(时)(城)(际)(铁)(路)(交)(通)(圈)(,实)(现)(首)(都)(国)(际)(机)(场)(1亿)(人)(次)(乘)(客)(目)(标)(和)(北)(京)(新)(机)(场)(一)(期)(工)(程)(的)(投)(入)(使)(用)(。  那)(么)(,从)(今)(年)(到)(2020年)(,6年)(时)(间)(,京)(津)(冀)(交)(通)(一)(体)(化)(可)(能)(要)(花)(多)(少)(钱)(?在)(具)(体)(规)(划)(尚)(未)(正)(式)(出)(台)(前)(,不)(妨)(做)(个)(猜)(想)(。  去)(年)(,京)(津)(冀)(三)(地)(交)(通)(方)(面)(投)(资)(达)(2300亿)(元)(,河)(北)(900多)(亿)(元)(,北)(京)(700亿)(元)(,天)(津)(600多)(亿)(元)(。在)(2015年)(至)(2017年)(,京)(津)(冀)(三)(地)(的)(交)(通)(投)(资)(或)(超)(过)(去)(年)(,因)(这)(三)(年)(是)(京)(津)(冀)(交)(通)(一)(体)(化)(的)(突)(破)(之)(年)(;2018年)(至)(2020年)(,交)(通)(投)(资)(或)(有)(所)(下)(降)(。但)(总)(体)(规)(模)(平)(均)(下)(来)(,每)(年)(投)(资)(或)(不)(少)(于)(去)(年)(。  在)(2015年)(河)(北)(省)(全)(省)(交)(通)(运)(输)(工)(作)(会)(议)(上)(,对)(于)(今)(年)(的)(工)(作)(,河)(北)(省)(提)(出)(目)(标)(任)(务)(:全)(省)(交)(通)(固)(定)(资)(产)(投)(资)(计)(划)(完)(成)(1020亿)(元)(,同)(比)(增)(长)(12%;争)(取)(完)(成)(投)(资)(1100亿)(元)(,同)(比)(增)(长)(20%以)(上)(。  北)(京)(和)(天)(津)(目)(前)(尚)(未)(明)(确)(今)(年)(各)(自)(的)(交)(通)(投)(资)(规)(模)(,但)(北)(京)(提)(出)(在)(2015年)(将)(新)(建)(大)(约)(160公)(里)(、续)(建)(大)(约)(170公)(里)(轨)(道)(交)(通)(项)(目)(;天)(津)(表)(示)(“将)(主)(动)(对)(接)(北)(京)(、河)(北)(,打)(通)(断)(头)(路)(、搭)(建)(高)(铁)(网)(、整)(合)(港)(口)(运)(力)(”。  北)(京)(基)(础)(设)(施)(投)(资)(有)(限)(公)(司)(去)(年)(7月)(曾)(表)(示)(,到)(2015年)(,北)(京)(还)(将)(新)(增)(5条)(线)(路)(,2020年)(前)(增)(加)(12条)(,全)(市)(轨)(道)(线)(路)(1000公)(里)(以)(上)(,还)(需)(再)(投)(资)(约)(4000亿)(元)(。其)(还)(表)(示)(,2013年)(至)(2014年)(,北)(京)(地)(铁)(修)(1公)(里)(10亿)(元)(。  公)(开)(信)(息)(显)(示)(,天)(津)(市)(今)(年)(投)(资)(总)(量)(预)(计)(达)(到)(1.3万)(亿)(元)(,项)(目)(资)(金)(将)(重)(点)(投)(放)(在)(先)(进)(制)(造)(业)(、现)(代)(服)(务)(业)(、基)(础)(设)(施)(、生)(态)(环)(境)(和)(民)(计)(民)(生)(四)(个)(方)(面)(。而)(在)(基)(础)(设)(施)(投)(入)(方)(面)(,将)(建)(成)(建)(成)(津)(保)(铁)(路)(、京)(津)(城)(际)(延)(伸)(线)(、西)(南)(环)(线)(、于)(家)(堡)(中)(心)(站)(,加)(快)(推)(进)(京)(津)(城)(际)(机)(场)(引)(入)(线)(、南)(港)(铁)(路)(等)(项)(目)(建)(设)(,推)(动)(京)(津)(第)(二)(城)(际)(规)(划)(立)(项)(;加)(快)(推)(进)(地)(铁)(1号)(东)(延)(线)(、4号)(、5号)(、6号)(、10号)(线)(等)(项)(目)(建)(设)(。  另)(据)(河)(北)(省)(2015年)(政)(府)(工)(作)(报)(告)(,未)(来)(几)(年)(河)(北)(省)(新)(增)(基)(建)(投)(资)(总)(额)(将)(超)(过)(3.1万)(亿)(元)(。而)(基)(建)(投)(资)(可)(能)(集)(中)(投)(向)(更)(能)(加)(强)(城)(市)(衔)(接)(效)(率)(的)(高)(速)(公)(路)(、轨)(道)(交)(通)(等)(交)(运)(项)(目)(。  中)(国)(区)(域)(经)(济)(学)(会)(秘)(书)(长)(陈)(耀)(告)(诉)(经)(济)(观)(察)(网)(记)(者)(,由)(于)(没)(有)(看)(到)(京)(津)(冀)(交)(通)(投)(资)(的)(具)(体)(项)(目)(计)(划)(,投)(资)(情)(况)(要)(明)(确)(较)(难)(,每)(年)(投)(资)(2300亿)(元)(“可)(能)(还)(是)(偏)(大)(一)(些)(”。他)(说)(,京)(津)(冀)(交)(通)(一)(体)(化)(主)(要)(是)(连)(接)(问)(题)(,大)(的)(干)(线)(基)(本)(有)(了)(,现)(在)(的)(京)(保)(石)(、京)(津)(、京)(唐)(秦)(三)(大)(轴)(线)(建)(设)(投)(资)(大)(一)(些)(,其)(他)(主)(要)(是)(断)(头)(路)(问)(题)(,每)(年)(可)(能)(有)(上)(千)(亿)(元)(的)(投)(资)(规)(模)(。  陈)(耀)(同)(时)(认)(为)(,今)(年)(的)(投)(资)(规)(模)(比)(去)(年)(可)(能)(会)(大)(点)(,因)(为)(2015年)(至)(2017年)(,这)(三)(年)(交)(通)(一)(体)(化)(要)(取)(得)(突)(破)(性)(进)(展)(,投)(资)(主)(要)(在)(这)(三)(年)(,以)(后)(会)(少)(一)(些)(,“做)(个)(估)(计)(的)(话)(,(三)(年)()每)(年)(2000多)(亿)(元)(,2018年)(到)(2020年)(,每)(年)(也)(就)(差)(不)(多)(千)(亿)(元)(,也)(可)(能)(会)(多)(一)(些)(。”这)(其)(中)(的)(一)(个)(因)(素)(是)(,交)(通)(建)(设)(往)(后)(,按)(照)(投)(资)(系)(数)(来)(说)(,成)(本)(会)(越)(来)(越)(高)(,投)(入)(也)(就)(适)(当)(提)(高)(些)(。  “生)(产)(要)(素)(的)(价)(格)(在)(上)(涨)(,劳)(动)(力)(价)(格)(、原)(材)(料)(价)(格)(上)(涨)(。”对)(后)(几)(年)(投)(资)(成)(本)(提)(高)(,中)(国)(城)(市)(经)(济)(学)(会)(副)(会)(长)(牛)(凤)(瑞)(持)(认)(同)(态)(度)(。不)(过)(他)(估)(算)(每)(年)(2300亿)(元)(,6年)((2015年)(至)(2020年)()近)(1.4万)(亿)(元)(的)(投)(资)(规)(模)(可)(能)(还)(算)(“下)(限)(”,“1.5万)(亿)(元)(还)(是)(可)(以)(的)(。”  牛)(凤)(瑞)(认)(为)(,京)(津)(冀)(总)(体)(还)(处)(于)(发)(展)(阶)(段)(,城)(市)(化)(、现)(代)(化)(还)(没)(完)(成)(,交)(通)(设)(施)(也)(有)(滞)(后)(,“现)(在)(要)(稳)(增)(长)(,有)(这)(个)(建)(设)(能)(力)(,应)(该)(加)(快)(交)(通)(建)(设)(。”  中)(国)(工)(程)(院)(院)(士)(王)(梦)(恕)(认)(为)(,京)(津)(冀)(交)(通)(一)(体)(化)(6年)(的)(投)(资)(,每)(年)(投)(资)(应)(在)(2000亿)(元)(至)(2500亿)(元)(之)(间)(。  不)(过)(,对)(京)(津)(冀)(交)(通)(一)(体)(化)(的)(总)(体)(投)(资)(情)(况)(,国)(家)(发)(改)(委)(国)(土)(开)(发)(与)(地)(区)(经)(济)(研)(究)(所)(所)(长)(肖)(金)(成)(、北)(京)(大)(学)(区)(域)(经)(济)(研)(究)(中)(心)(主)(任)(杨)(开)(忠)(表)(示)(还)(难)(以)(评)(估)(。  杨)(开)(忠)(表)(示)(,京)(津)(冀)(交)(通)(一)(体)(化)(的)(投)(资)(重)(点)(会)(集)(中)(于)(构)(建)(综)(合)(交)(通)(枢)(纽)(,以)(及)(快)(速)(铁)(路)(,包)(括)(城)(际)(铁)(路)(、客)(运)(专)(线)(和)(轨)(道)(交)(通)(等)(,“以)(河)(北)(省)(内)(居)(多)(,河)(北)(省)(任)(务)(会)(比)(较)(重)(。”  在)(陈)(耀)(看)(来)(,总)(投)(入)(中)(河)(北)(的)(投)(入)(会)(多)(一)(些)(,可)(能)(占)(总)(量)(的)(四)(五)(成)(,其)(次)(是)(北)(京)(,最)(后)(是)(天)(津)(。王)(梦)(恕)(亦)(认)(为)(京)(津)(冀)(交)(通)(一)(体)(化)(的)(重)(点)(在)(河)(北)(省)(,钱)(主)(要)(由)(河)(北)(来)(出)(,因)(京)(津)(冀)(三)(地)(还)(是)(比)(较)(松)(散)(的)(协)(调)(关)(系)(。  王)(梦)(恕)(说)(,国)(家)(投)(资)(在)(大)(多)(数)(情)(况)(下)(,只)(投)(资)(干)(线)(,很)(多)(地)(方)(公)(路)(和)(铁)(路)(都)(需)(要)(地)(方)(自)(己)(出)(资)(解)(决)(,这)(样)(京)(津)(冀)(三)(地)(需)(要)(拓)(宽)(融)(资)(渠)(道)(,尽)(量)(向)(社)(会)(资)(本)(借)(力)(。  河)(北)(的)(一)(个)(路)(径)(是)(申)(请)(国)(家)(对)(交)(通)(基)(础)(设)(施)(的)(支)(持)(。河)(北)(省)(交)(通)(运)(输)(厅)(厅)(长)(高)(金)(浩)(在)(去)(年)(6月)(对)(媒)(体)(表)(示)(,该)(厅)(牵)(头)(研)(究)(提)(出)(了)(申)(请)(国)(家)(对)(交)(通)(基)(础)(设)(施)(支)(持)(政)(策)(方)(案)(,已)(完)(成)(初)(稿)(,资)(金)(补)(助)(是)(重)(点)(争)(取)(支)(持)(方)(面)(。  这)(在)(河)(北)(地)(市)(也)(有)(所)(反)(映)(。为)(力)(争)(在)(2020年)(形)(成)(环)(京)(津)(县)(与)(京)(津)(之)(间)(1小)(时)(交)(通)(圈)(。河)(北)(承)(德)(市)(于)(去)(年)(列)(出)(61个)(项)(目)(,投)(资)(总)(额)(1236.7亿)(元)(。经)(济)(观)(察)(网)(记)(者)(了)(解)(到)(,为)(解)(决)(公)(路)(建)(设)(资)(金)(补)(助)(问)(题)(,承)(德)(市)(交)(通)(运)(输)(局)(提)(出)(的)(建)(议)(之)(一)(是)(“争)(取)(国)(省)(干)(线)(公)(路)(建)(设)(资)(金)(全)(额)(补)(助)(”。
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